The Great Wave: Price Revolutions & the Rhythm of History
Money's key role in changing our world comes most to the fore when its value
evaporates...
EVER FEEL LIKE, whatever you do, inflation is about to sweep you and your
money under the carpet of
history?
Well, stop fretting Dr.Bernanke! Because "price revolutions" have
happened before and they'll
surely happen again.
To spot yourself as a speck in monetary history today,
all you've got to decide is
whether the price revolution of the 20th century ever actually reached its end or not. Because we might
still have a whole heap of
trouble to come.
After studying and detailing the price inflations of the
13th, 16th and 18th centuries,
David Hackett Fischer – better known for Paul Revere's Ride and a key inspiration, along with
Robert Barro, for the
pop-economists behind Freakonomics and The Tipping Point – shows in The Great
Wave how "the great inflation
of the 20th century differed from every price revolution that had preceded it. Its velocity, mass and
momentum were greater than those
that came before."
The hyper-inflations of Weimar Germany and late '40s
Hungary had been and gone by this
point, however. What lies ahead in this erudite but compelling history is the rapid inflation that
actually preceded the oil shocks of
1973 and 1980. This sharp worldwide rise in the cost of living then lurched into "stagflation" – a new
term for a repeated pattern –
when the world's leading economy, then the United States, slowed as unemployment soared but inflation
and the trade deficit
soared.
Of course, the 1970s inflation was also the world's first price
revolution when money had nothing
but credit, mere confidence, to support it. Lacking any commodity backing from Gold or silver, "this
time, leaders of the administration tried to restrain [prices] by a policy of moral suasian called
'jawboning' in the jargon of the
day," notes Hackett Fischer.
"The only discernible effect of jawboning was
an inflation of rhetoric that
kept pace with rising prices. The cost of living kept climbing."
Too spooky,
no? But The Great
Wave offers much more than simply four warnings from history, however.
The depth of detail and
anecdote, plus huge volumes of original research (stitched together both from original and secondary
sources), makes for a unique
history of Western civilization. Letting money and the cost of living argue it out center stage, David
Hackett Fischer shows how the
rot of inflation forces the collapse of regimes and entire societies, allowing new dynasties, customs
and order to take
hold.
How come the Black Death proved so virulent in the mid-14th century
compared with other outbreaks?
What's the connection between violent crime, birth rates, substance abuse and consumer prices? Why is it
that, just before the great
waves of inflation in history crested and broke, "the rich grew richer, the people of middling sort lost
ground, the poor suffered
terribly [and] inequalities of wealth and income increased"...?
If you
believe (or even merely suspect)
that history really does matter, then you really should buy this book now. Because money's key role in
changing the world comes most
to the fore when its value evaporates.












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